Arbitrage Calculator

Check whether two prices make an arb, and get the exact stake on each side so both outcomes return the same. Handles exchange commission.

Guaranteed return+3.73%
Stake on A$493.98
Stake on B$506.02
Returns either way$1037.35

Doing this across every bookmaker at once: the Arb Finder.

How the maths works: how arbitrage works.

How it works

Convert both prices to implied probability and add them. Below 100% and backing both sides returns a profit whatever happens. The stakes are split in proportion to each side's implied probability so both outcomes pay the same.

Tick the exchange box

Betfair quotes before taking commission on winnings. A $2.10 exchange price really returns about $2.045, and since most arbs are 1–2%, that difference regularly turns an apparent arb into a guaranteed loss. This calculator takes it off before doing anything else.

Why the one you found may not work