NRL Round 23 Tips
Who we're tipping in every round 23 game, the expected margin, and the best price of 12 bookmakers.
Our record, graded after every game
Head to head with the market, over the 9 games we can price-check:
| Our tips | 7/9 | 78% |
| Backing favourites | 6/9 | 67% |
Favourites win most NRL matches, so beating the market — not the raw strike rate — is the thing worth judging us on. When the market is ahead, this says so.
The headline is our winner tips — the calls on this page. Totals and line are markets our model also grades itself on; they're shown because hiding the weaker ones would make the record worthless. Every pick is graded against the real result once the game finishes, misses included. Closing line value starts publishing here once enough tips have settled — we only began recording the price at the moment of each tip from 1 August 2026, and it can't be reconstructed for earlier ones.
Round 23 tips
8 games still to play · we're on the underdog in 1 · none of them clear our value bar right now, so we're not backing any.